Friday, June 21, 2013

2013 NBA Playoff predictions:
The final tallies


The Heat in seven was a popular prediction with the experts on ESPN, so we have a lot of predictors whose record improved with the last series.

Experts with 15 predictions
Arnovitz: 77.1%
Haberstroh: 76.0%
Wallace: 74.0%
Pelton: 72.7%
Adande: 72.0%
Windhorst: 69.3%
Gutierrez: 68.0%
Elhassan: 68.0%
Abbott: 67.3%
Stein: 58.0%

If I'm grading this strictly, that's five grades of C, four grades of D and an F.

I am not trying to insult these people, though I would certainly drop Stein from the list of experts next year if I was the boss. My point is that there are a lot of random factors in games and prediction is tough.

Experts with less than 15 but more than 10 predictions
Ford: 14 predictions, 85.7%
Legler: 13 predictions, 81.5%
Thorpe: 12 predictions, 77.5%
Palmer: 13 predictions, 70.0%
Barry: 14 predictions, 67.1%

Without question, the part-timers did better than the full-timers, 2 Bs,2 Cs and 1 D. While I would drop Stein, I would want the predictions of Ford and Legler in every series next time playoffs roll around.

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