Saturday, March 9, 2013

Four weeks of climate data:
Northern Temperate Zone, Western Hemisphere recap



Northern Temperate region #7

Confidence of the region warming: just over 50%
Confidence of increasing rate: 50%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.79° C


A lot of water usually shows a strong warming trend, just as very little water usually does not. The correlation isn't perfect.

 


Northern Temperate region #8

Confidence of the region warming:under 99.5%
Confidence of decreasing rate: 94.6%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 1.01° C

Here is an odd region. Very confident of warming, a big jump from the first time interval to the last, but the trends say the warming is slowing down.

If you are of the opinion that global warming is a "We're all screwed" situation, the fact this region is slowing down is a glimmer of hope.

Especially for me since I live in this region.

 

Northern Temperate region #9

Confidence of the region warming:over 95%
Confidence of increasing rate: 50%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.80° C


Another big landlocked region does not show a degree change in more than a half century and no sign of an increasing warming trend.


But it is warming.

 


Northern Temperate region #10

Confidence of the region warming: over 95%
Confidence of increasing rate: 88.9%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.90° C


It's warming, it could be speeding up though we aren't sure and it's close to a degree in 56 years but not quite.



None of that is really good news.

 


Northern Temperate region #11

Confidence of the region warming: 97.7%
Confidence of increasing rate: 79.2%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 1.01° C

Another region with more than a degree change in 56 years, strong confidence in warming but the confidence in increasing is not strong. With very little land and a lot of water we expect to see warming.


 


Northern Temperate region #12

Confidence of the region warming: over 99.5% Confidence of increasing rate: 94.8%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.81° C

Another region with a lot of water, with land ranging from Iceland to Morocco. It's clearly warming, it might well be increasing and it's closer to a degree of warming than it is to a half degree.  Not a lot of good news.

Tomorrow, we start looking again at new territory, splitting the Northern Tropical Zone into six slices, the first slice dominated by the Sahara.
 



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