Saturday, March 9, 2013
Four weeks of climate data:
Northern Temperate Zone, Western Hemisphere recap
Northern Temperate region #7
Confidence of the region warming: just over 50%
Confidence of increasing rate: 50%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.79° C
A lot of water usually shows a strong warming trend, just as very little water usually does not. The correlation isn't perfect.
Northern Temperate region #8
Confidence of the region warming:under 99.5%
Confidence of decreasing rate: 94.6%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 1.01° C
Here is an odd region. Very confident of warming, a big jump from the first time interval to the last, but the trends say the warming is slowing down.
If you are of the opinion that global warming is a "We're all screwed" situation, the fact this region is slowing down is a glimmer of hope.
Especially for me since I live in this region.
Northern Temperate region #9
Confidence of the region warming:over 95%
Confidence of increasing rate: 50%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.80° C
Another big landlocked region does not show a degree change in more than a half century and no sign of an increasing warming trend.
But it is warming.
Northern Temperate region #10
Confidence of the region warming: over 95%
Confidence of increasing rate: 88.9%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.90° C
It's warming, it could be speeding up though we aren't sure and it's close to a degree in 56 years but not quite.
None of that is really good news.
Northern Temperate region #11
Confidence of the region warming: 97.7%
Confidence of increasing rate: 79.2%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 1.01° C
Another region with more than a degree change in 56 years, strong confidence in warming but the confidence in increasing is not strong. With very little land and a lot of water we expect to see warming.
Northern Temperate region #12
Confidence of the region warming: over 99.5% Confidence of increasing rate: 94.8%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.81° C
Another region with a lot of water, with land ranging from Iceland to Morocco. It's clearly warming, it might well be increasing and it's closer to a degree of warming than it is to a half degree. Not a lot of good news.
Tomorrow, we start looking again at new territory, splitting the Northern Tropical Zone into six slices, the first slice dominated by the Sahara.
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