Friday, March 8, 2013

Four weeks of climate data:
Northern Temperate Zone, Eastern Hemisphere recap


Northern Temperate region #1

Confidence of the region warming:under 50%
Confidence of increasing rate: under 50%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 1.06° C

The temperature in this part of Europe with a little North Africa thrown in is bouncing around from time interval to time interval, but the median rose over a point from the first time interval to the last.  That number is in italics because it's a Big Damn Deal.



Northern Temperate region #2

Confidence of the region warming: over 99%
Confidence of increasing rate: over 95%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 1.54° C

This region of the Northern Temperate Zone in the Eastern Hemisphere is showing more warming than any other. The general correlation of "more water means more warming" isn't perfect but it's very good. This is one of the counterexamples that keeps it from being perfect.


Northern Temperate region #3

Confidence of the region warming: 74.5%
Confidence of increasing rate:  88.9%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.32° C

This region is the first of two landlocked parts of Asia that show relatively little warming.


Northern Temperate region #4

Confidence of the region warming: 74.8%
Confidence of increasing rate: 50.0%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.67° C

An argument by the people who deny any human cause of climate change is that the region that includes heavily populated and still growing China is not showing a lot of warming this past half century.

A counterargument to this is that the amount of ocean surface in a region is a better indicator of warming and this slice is almost completely landlocked.

Northern Temperate region #5

Confidence of the region warming: 97.7%
Confidence of increasing rate: 50%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.77° C

As we reach the Pacific we see more warming than we did in the two large but landlocked sections of Asia.

Northern Temperate region #6

Confidence of the region warming: 99.6%
Confidence of increasing rate: 50%
Change in median temperature from the 1955-1975 interval to the 1999-2010 interval: 0.85° C

More water and more warming than Region #5, but .85 of a degree Celsius in 56 years is not a "hair on fire" number.

Tomorrow, we look at the Western Hemipshere half of the the Northern Temperate Zone.

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