Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Climate Data:
China and surrounding areas 1955-2010

China is not like the Sahara or Australia. It's farther away from the equator, it's not a mono-climate and it fits rather clumsily in a Mercator rectangle. It's not warming as fast as the Sahara, but it is showing much more warming than Australia. Most climate scientist I've talked to think of 2 degrees Celsius in a century as a "hair on fire number" .82 degrees in 56 years would average out to about 1.5 degrees in 100 year if this keeps up.



The region is very well covered by weather stations.

Of all the seasons, Winter is showing the greatest increase in median temperature from the 1955-1975 era to the 1999-2010 era, about 1.02 degrees Celsius. (The choice of the beginning and ending numbers of these eras is based on Strong La NiƱa years, for those of you who are new to my posts on climate.)


The Spring red dotted line jumps up by 0.94 degrees Celsius from the first era to the last.


Summer temperatures dipped in the time period from 1975 to 1988, but other than that we see an increasing trend.


Fall temperature also have just one dip, but this one is from the end of last century to the beginning of this one.

Confidence level of warming from time interval to time interval: 99%

Confidence level of the trend showing increasing warming: 94.87%

Average seasonal change in the medians of 1955-1975 to 1999-2010: 0.82° C.

No comments:

Post a Comment