New polls have been released since last Monday regarding the special Senate election to fill John Kerry's open seat in Massachusetts. On June 9, two polls were released giving Democrat Ed Markey a 7 point lead over Republican Gabriel Gomez. Two more recent polls show double digit leads, one by the Republican polling company Harper (49%-37% on 6/11) and the most recent by Boston Globe (54%-43% on 6/14).
We are eight days away from the polls closing and nearly no movement in Confidence of Victory numbers, now sitting at 97.5% for Markey. A week out it's hard to move the needle, especially given the increased popularity of voting by mail. Polling companies would like it if news organizations would add the phrase "if the election were held when the poll was taken" to any report on a poll, but with absentee ballots the election is effectively taking place now. I expect more polls this week and at least one more report on the race.
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